Although the automobile market in the first half of this year did not meet expectations , and so a lot of car prices in years when adjusted sales plan, but in the second half of this year, the automobile market began to force a sudden increase of the month have maintained positive growth in the second half and many models began to enter a tense period of supply . Under the auto market , " vista" development path , so many people feel longing for next year's auto market with confidence.
According to ex -hung ball joint note , in 2014 the potential economic growth rate of 7 % -8 % GDP growth rate of 7.5% is expected . Accordance with the law , the pace of development at this stage is roughly equivalent to 1.5 times the passenger 's GDP growth . Even so, passenger growth is likely to be around 11 %. National Joint Council Secretary General Rao passenger car market growth forecast for next year is also more optimistic , he thinks the automobile market growth will be around 13%. But Rao also suggested that next year the most critical issue is the policy , air pollution control policy will increase the cost of vehicles , so this policy when issued, promulgated how much strength will affect next year 's growth in the automobile market .
Many car companies are also responsible optimistic that passenger growth next year will be more than 10 %, despite many negative factors facing the policy , but will also have more positive factors exist. One of the biggest positive factor is the demand remains strong , and this presents a significant regional demand and product segmentation . On the domestic automotive market structure analysis, the current decline in the proportion of B-Class from 2008 's 50.4% to 18.2%, A0 -and A00 grade there was a marked decline in the proportion , while the proportion of full A -class car market increased by 10 percentage points. 1.0-1.6 liter passenger cars only accounted for more than 60% , an increase of more than 20% , indicating that the average family car buying has become the main market , purchasing power is further enhanced difficult to curb this trend in the short term , especially is currently spreading to the four-tier cities .
Some scholars have analyzed China's current consumption growth exceeded the growth in disposable income . To August this year , Chinese residents have savings balance for three consecutive months to break 43 trillion yuan , located in the historical highest level , indicating that the residents did not spend savings to increase consumption . Some scholars believe that China 's consumption level is underestimated by 10 % -12 %. For example, many corporate executives to use company funds to buy private cars , private consumption will be counted as investments , but in fact is a standard private consumption . This consumer demand will provide a steady stream to the automotive market, the production of power .
According to ex -hung ball joint understanding , although anxious sound policy , but most in the official vehicle joint venture brands reform will not be much affected , such as has been called the " official car" Audi A6L models, after several restructuring and changes in the purchasing power of the market , the current A6L 's main customer base has basically locked to private , from the author in the case before a Pudong New Audi 4S shop of view , A6L new car in Bus ratio has been very weak, and sometimes ten cars for sale nor is there an official vehicle orders. In addition, such as Honda , Volkswagen and other brands have already terminal relying entirely on the private car market to survive , coupled with the development of the car rental industry to bring new car purchasing power , the overall predicted by various car companies need to fear . Meanwhile, the official car is often much higher than the frequency of use of private cars , which although small proportion of the number of official cars , but traffic jams often " contribute " a lot , so overwhelmed by the policy benefits is perhaps the first to show the way to become more calming . |